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What’s Changed?

2017-04-07, Joe Jugovic

Most global equity markets continued their upward march as investors remained optimistic about economic and stock market tailwinds.

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Lessons From The Best

2017-03-10, Steven Kim

The Super Bowl 51 championship game was a reminder that anything can happen. We all thought the game was over at half-time, when the winner was trailing 21-3.

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Probabilistically Thinking

2017-03-03, Jason Reed

17th century mathematicians Blaise Pascal and Pierre de Fermat advanced our understanding of probability with what is now called the Gambler’s Ruin Problem.

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Uncomfortable But Necessary

2017-01-27, Clement Chiang

It is challenging to stick to contrarian thinking, even when your data suggests you’re doing the right thing.

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A Year Of Change And Extremes

2017-01-06, Joe Jugovic

With the Brexit outcome, the Trump victory, and the Chicago Cubs winning the World Series after 108 years, the art of forecasting is the year’s biggest loser! 

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Reducing Our Error Rate

2016-12-02, Steven Kim

2016’s events are an acute reminder that anyone’s ability to consistently predict future events is limited.

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